The race for the 2024 presidential election is already heating up, with polls showing former President Donald Trump leading the pack in the Republican Party. According to a recent NBC News poll, 46 percent of Republican primary voters would favor Trump over other GOP presidential hopefuls, including Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, who had 31 percent of Republican primary voters supporting him.[0] However, the same poll also found that 70 percent of respondents said they did not want Trump to run again, and 60 percent said they don’t want Biden to enter the 2024 race.
The poll also showed that 70 percent of Americans think Biden shouldn’t seek a second term, including 51 percent of Democrats, with 48 percent citing Biden’s age as a “major” reason. Meanwhile, DeSantis holds a three-point advantage over Biden in a general election, while Trump trails Biden by three. Both fall within the range of statistical error.[1]
Despite Trump’s lead in the polls, a recent survey from GOP firm Public Opinion Strategies showed that DeSantis would beat Biden in Arizona and Pennsylvania in a hypothetical 2024 face-off by 48 to 42 percent and 45 percent to 42 percent respectively. However, even electability wasn’t a significant advantage for DeSantis as just 41 percent of GOP primary voters believe he would have a better chance of beating Biden, while 31 percent said Trump would be the stronger candidate.
The poll also found that 37 percent of Republicans say they identify more as supporters of Trump than supporters of the Republican Party, up from the 33 percent who said this in January’s NBC News poll, though the movement is within the poll’s margin of error.[2] The same poll shows that just 6 percent of Americans want to see a rematch between Trump and Joe Biden in 2024.[3]
On the issue of abortion, 58 percent of respondents said that abortion should be legal, with 38 percent agreeing that abortion should be legal with exceptions while 6 percent support making abortion legal without exceptions.[4] According to the poll, there has been no change in the public’s stance on this issue in the past year, as compared to the results of the previous year.[4]
Overall, the poll shows that substantial majorities of all Americans don’t want Trump or President Joe Biden to run for president in 2024. While Trump holds a significant lead in the Republican Party, DeSantis is seen as a formidable opponent, with strong support in key battleground states. The race for the 2024 presidential election is expected to be highly contested and could have significant implications for the future of the United States.
0. “AOC says DeSantis would be ‘weaker’ GOP presidential contender than Trump” New York Post , 25 Apr. 2023, https://nypost.com/2023/04/24/aoc-says-desantis-is-a-weaker-gop-presidential-contender-than-trump/
1. “Trump looms over DeSantis despite voters craving new 2024 candidates: Polls” Axios, 23 Apr. 2023, https://www.axios.com/2023/04/23/trump-desantis-biden-2024-election-polls
2. “Share of Republicans identifying as Trump supporters ticks up after indictment, poll finds” NBC News, 24 Apr. 2023, https://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/meetthepressblog/share-republicans-identifying-trump-supporters-ticks-indictment-poll-f-rcna81195
3. “Trump is double-digits ahead of Ron DeSantis NBC’s first national 2024 poll shows” Daily Mail, 23 Apr. 2023, https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12004701/Trump-double-digits-ahead-Ron-DeSantis-NBCs-national-2024-poll-shows.html
4. “Two-Thirds of GOP Voters Still Back Indicted Ex-President, Poll Finds” Rolling Stone, 23 Apr. 2023, https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-news/two-thirds-gop-voters-support-trump-despite-indictment-1234722163
