Former President Donald Trump’s support among Republican voters has dipped from 53% to 47% in the past month, according to a CNN poll of 1,350 registered voters.[0] Trump still leads the Republican field by a wide margin in the race for the party’s nomination for President, but the poll suggested that his support has declined, as have positive views of him among Republican and Republican-leaning voters. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis maintained steady support at 26% in the latest poll, with former Vice President Mike Pence at 9%, former United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley at 5%, South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott at 4%, former New Jersey Gov.[1] Chris Christie at 3%, and the remaining candidates at 1% or less.[2] If Trump and President Joe Biden were to hypothetically compete in a general election, Biden would have a lead of 49% to Trump’s 45%. Conversely, if DeSantis were to run against Biden, both candidates would be tied with 47% of the vote.
Despite Trump’s federal indictment in the Mar-a-Lago classified documents case, a combined total of 77% of GOP primary voters said the federal charges gave them either minor concerns (14%) or no real concerns (63%).[3] Moreover, only 26% of Republican and Republican-leaning voters believe that Trump should end his campaign in light of the federal charges, while an additional 16% suggest he should withdraw if convicted of federal crimes.[1] There are not many Republicans who wish to witness Trump being removed from the competition or disowned by his party as a reaction to the indictment.[2] A 54% majority of Republican and Republican-leaning voters say that Trump’s conduct doesn’t matter much to them as they consider his candidacy, because a President’s effectiveness matters more.[4]
The poll did reveal a near 50-50 split among Republicans on the question of whether Trump should remain the party’s standard-bearer.[5] Another 21% say it’s time to consider other leaders, even though they believe Trump was a good president.[6] A majority of these voters pick DeSantis as their first choice, yet Trump also gets support from 1 out of 5 in this group.[7] Another 29% say that the GOP needs a new leader with “better personal behavior” as well as a different approach from the former president.[8] These voters preferred DeSantis, Pence, Christie, and other candidates as their first choice for the GOP nomination.[8]
Trump now leads Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, currently his chief Republican rival, by 29 points, a near doubling of his lead in NBC’s April poll. DeSantis’s worsening numbers are one of the poll’s other major findings: 46% of all voters rated the Florida governor either “somewhat” (9%) or “very” (37%) negative, an increase of twenty points over the last year.[5] The poll indicates that in a primary battle, Trump would defeat DeSantis by a margin of 24 points.[5]
Recently, there has been a development where the Governor…[9] On Thursday, a poll revealed that Ron DeSantis (R – Florida) is making progress in the packed Republican presidential primary, catching up to former President Trump.[10] On Tuesday, a CNN survey revealed that among Republicans and Republican-leaning voters, Trump is ahead of his closest challenger DeSantis by 21 points (47-26) in terms of support. In CNN’s May poll, the ex-president’s rating on the initial ballot inquiry declined by six points.[11] The June survey was carried out completely following Trump’s indictment in federal court last week.[11]
In the hypothetical rematch between Biden and Trump, Biden enjoys advantages among women (55%-38%), voters 18-34 (65%-30%), Latinos (66%-26%), and Black voters (73%-20%), as well as independents (47%-33%) and those who “somewhat” disapprove of Biden’s job as president (50%-39%). The poll was conducted among 1,350 U.S. adults in June, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points.[12]
Overall, Trump’s support among Republican voters has declined in the past month, while DeSantis is gaining ground as a potential challenger.[13] However, Trump still leads the Republican field by a wide margin and has a significant portion of Republican voters who are not concerned about his federal indictment. Biden continues to lead in a hypothetical matchup against Trump, with advantages among key voter groups. The Republican primary field for the 2024 presidential election remains crowded, with a near 50-50 split among Republicans on whether Trump should remain the party’s standard-bearer.
0. “Trump Support Among GOP Voters Is Sinking Fast According To A New Poll” UPROXX, 20 Jun. 2023, https://uproxx.com/viral/trump-poll-numbers-sinking-republicans-poll-post-indictment
1. “Trump’s Republican support appears to soften post-indictment: Poll” IBTimes India, 21 Jun. 2023, https://www.ibtimes.co.in/trumps-support-declines-after-indictment-classified-documents-case-reveals-cnn-poll-860119
2. “CNN Poll: Trump’s GOP support appears to soften post-indictment, but he holds lead in primary field” kuna noticias y kuna radio, 20 Jun. 2023, https://kesq.com/news/national-politics/cnn-us-politics/2023/06/20/cnn-poll-trumps-gop-support-appears-to-soften-post-indictment-but-he-holds-lead-in-primary-field/
3. “Donald Trump widens lead over Republican rival despite legal woes, poll shows” Yahoo Canada Sports, 25 Jun. 2023, https://ca.sports.yahoo.com/news/donald-trump-widens-lead-over-162700101.html
4. “Trump’s Republican support appears to soften post-indictment: Poll” Newsroom Odisha, 21 Jun. 2023, https://newsroomodisha.com/trumps-republican-support-appears-to-soften-post-indictment-poll/
5. “Trump’s Support Among Republicans Increased After Criminal Indictments: Poll” Vanity Fair, 25 Jun. 2023, https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2023/06/trump-poll-increases-after-indictments
6. “Trump lead grows following indictment, one factor continues to be thorn in Biden’s side with voters: poll” Yahoo Entertainment, 25 Jun. 2023, https://www.yahoo.com/entertainment/trump-lead-grows-following-indictment-185555345.html
7. “Trump’s GOP lead grows after latest indictment, poll finds” NBC News, 25 Jun. 2023, https://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/first-read/trumps-gop-lead-grows-latest-indictment-poll-finds-rcna90420
8. “Trump expands lead over GOP field after indictment: poll” AOL, 25 Jun. 2023, https://www.aol.com/trump-expands-lead-over-gop-140825568.html
9. “DeSantis Gains Ground Against Trump In GOP Primary: Poll” Benzinga, 22 Jun. 2023, https://www.benzinga.com/news/23/06/32962887/desantis-gains-ground-against-trump-in-gop-primary-poll
10. “DeSantis gaining ground in GOP primary matchup against Trump” Colorado Springs Gazette, 22 Jun. 2023, https://gazette.com/news/wex/desantis-gaining-ground-in-gop-primary-matchup-against-trump/article_dbc6a08e-b2ed-52d1-ade9-14e255a126e8.html
11. “Trump’s grip on the GOP nomination slips slightly as a new poll shows his legal struggles can hurt him” Business Insider, 20 Jun. 2023, https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-polling-arraignment-republicans-2024-classified-documents-desantis-2023-6
12. “Trump lead over GOP field slips after federal indictment: poll” Yahoo News, 20 Jun. 2023, https://news.yahoo.com/trump-lead-over-gop-field-172227613.html
13. “Trump’s GOP support dips after Mar-a-Lago documents indictment” New York Daily News, 20 Jun. 2023, https://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/us-elections-government/ny-trump-supports-softens-slightly-with-republicans-since-indictment-20230620-jyi3gzon75dhvpcns2e5ukwr3y-story.html
